Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.126251 0.146058 0.167931 0.193872 0.223803 0.257256 0.297494
2025-11-16 0.095974 0.122779 0.155421 0.198090 0.252414 0.319303 0.407999
2025-11-23 0.078584 0.107826 0.145944 0.199264 0.271958 0.367690 0.503532
2025-11-30 0.067480 0.098039 0.140149 0.202396 0.292132 0.416959 0.604140
2025-12-07 0.057189 0.087316 0.130880 0.198438 0.300662 0.449770 0.684320
2025-12-14 0.049569 0.079122 0.123739 0.195965 0.310088 0.483769 0.768921
2025-12-21 0.044534 0.074030 0.120349 0.198324 0.326496 0.529254 0.875392
2025-12-28 0.041711 0.071990 0.121300 0.207373 0.354114 0.594696 1.020483
2026-01-04 0.038622 0.069044 0.120305 0.212871 0.376171 0.653006 1.159772
2026-01-11 0.035807 0.066173 0.119010 0.217526 0.397014 0.711039 1.304466
2026-01-18 0.032901 0.062750 0.116299 0.219225 0.412576 0.761134 1.440016
2026-01-25 0.029667 0.058313 0.111229 0.215934 0.418467 0.794164 1.547323
2026-02-01 0.026223 0.053126 0.104297 0.208541 0.416179 0.812532 1.630399
2026-02-08 0.024585 0.051290 0.103543 0.213041 0.437425 0.877790 1.812271
2026-02-15 0.022768 0.048860 0.101327 0.214303 0.452231 0.931804 1.977280
2026-02-22 0.021358 0.047096 0.100228 0.217670 0.471590 0.996700 2.171487
2026-03-01 0.019384 0.043886 0.095774 0.213415 0.474344 1.027557 2.296733
2026-03-08 0.017762 0.041256 0.092253 0.210756 0.480172 1.065317 2.440833
2026-03-15 0.016720 0.039809 0.091140 0.213293 0.497729 1.130069 2.651950
2026-03-22 0.016299 0.039748 0.093099 0.223021 0.532628 1.236627 2.970008
2026-03-29 0.015624 0.039005 0.093415 0.228933 0.559251 1.327060 3.260048
2026-04-05 0.014934 0.038144 0.093360 0.233937 0.584221 1.416107 3.556317
2026-04-12 0.014098 0.036824 0.092065 0.235764 0.601628 1.488950 3.820717